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2009-01-01

Bampfylde, Caroline J., Jerde, Christopher L., Lewis, Mark A.

We formalize the establishment process for a sexual, semelparous organism through the use of hierarchical probability modeling from parameters of survival, probability of being female, probability of being fertilized, and expected fecundity.We show how to calculate the expected per capita growth...

2016-01-01

Potapov, Alex, Merrill, Evelyn, Pybus, Margo, Lewis, Mark A.

We develop a model of CWD management by nonselective deer harvest, currently the most feasible approach available for managing CWD in wild populations. We use the model to explore the effects of 6 common harvest strategies on disease prevalence and to identify potential optimal harvest policies...

2012-01-01

Ashander, Jaime, Lewis, Mark A., Krkošek, Martin

Exchange of diseases between domesticated and wild animals is a rising concern for conservation. In the ocean, many species display life histories that separate juveniles from adults. For pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and parasitic sea lice (Lepeophtheirus salmonis), infection of juvenile...

2013-01-01

Merrill, E., Lewis, Mark A., Pybus, M., Potapov, A., Coltman, D.

We develop a model for the spread of chronic wasting disease (CWD) in a mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) population to assess possible mechanisms of disease transmission and parameterize it for the mule deer population in Alberta, Canada. We consider seven mechanisms of disease transmission...

1996-01-01

Lewis, Mark A., Veit, R.R.

Since about 1940, when they were first released in the new York City area, house finches (Carpodacus mexicanus) have multiplied explosively and colonized much of eastern North America. We take advantage of the richly detailed documentation of this biological invasion to construct a mathematical...

2014-01-01

Schlägel, Ulrike E, Lewis, Mark A.

Animals of many species demonstrate movement behaviour in which decisions are based on a variety of information. Effects of resources have been studied widely, often under the assumption that the environment is constant over the course of the study. Much less understood is the role of dynamic...

2004-01-01

Lewis, Mark A., Potapov, A.

Predictions for climate change include movement of temperature isoclines up to 1000 meters per year, and this is supported by recent empirical studies. This paper considers effects of a rapidly changing environment on competitive outcomes between species. The model is formulated as a system of...

2015-01-01

Potapov, Alex, Merrill, Evelyn, Pybus, Margo, Lewis, Mark A.

We consider the problem of estimating the basic reproduction number R0 from data on prevalence dynamics at the beginning of a disease outbreak. We derive discrete and continuous time models, some coefficients of which are to be fitted from data. We show that prevalence of the disease is...

2006-01-01

McCauley, E., Lewis, Mark A., Lutscher, F.

The question how aquatic populations persist in rivers when individuals are constantly lost due to downstream drift has been termed the “drift paradox.” Recent modeling approaches have revealed diffusion-mediated persistence as a solution. We study logistically growing populations with and...

2001-01-01

Lewis, Mark A., Owen, Markus R.

High-frequency ventilation isa radical departure from conventional lung ventilation, with frequenciesgreater than 2Hz, and volumesp er breath much smaller than the anatomical deadspace. Its use has been shown to benefit premature infants and patients with severe respiratory distress, but a vital...