Frozen Futures: Exploring the potential of scenario planning techniques for thinking and talking about digital divides in Arctic contexts

  • Author(s) / Creator(s)
  • This capstone examines the use of scenario planning methodology as an alternative way for
    thinking and talking about Arctic digital divides, specifically in a Canadian telecommunications
    context. Despite an abundance of research into digital divides and decades of attempts to close
    the gap, the divide persists. Exploratory in nature, this study uses a mixed-methods approach
    combining content analysis methods within a future-focussed scenario planning framework.
    Computer-assisted content analysis was conducted on publicly-available transcripts from a
    CRTC hearing held in Whitehorse, Yukon, to create a dataset of trends and influences of key
    importance from the hearing. This dataset of “driving forces” was then run through a scenario
    planning exercise to see if anything can be deduced about the value of the methodology in the
    context of Arctic digital divides. Results identified that scenario planning was particularly adept
    at handling a range of complex ideas and uncertainty in a systematic way. However, blind spots
    were identified based on participants’ own experiences and biases. This led to the
    recommendation that scenario planning should not be used in isolation, but that it could provide
    value as a secondary resource in decision making and policy guidance. This study walks the line
    between traditional and creative research approaches, highlighting the underestimated value of
    participants’ lived realities, interpretations, and imaginations in problem solving complex issues.

  • Date created
    2024-08-01
  • Subjects / Keywords
  • Type of Item
    Research Material
  • DOI
    https://doi.org/10.7939/r3-ddpf-nh28
  • License
    Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International