Empirical estimation of R0 for unknown transmission functions: The case of chronic wasting disease in Alberta

• Author(s) / Creator(s)

  • Potapov, Alex
  • Merrill, Evelyn
  • Pybus, Margo
  • Lewis, Mark A.

• We consider the problem of estimating the basic reproduction number R0 from data on prevalence dynamics at the beginning of a disease outbreak. We derive discrete and continuous time models, some coefficients of which are to be fitted from data. We show that prevalence of the disease is sufficient to determine R0. We apply this method to chronic wasting disease spread in Alberta determining a range of possible R0 and their sensitivity to the probability of deer annual survival.

• Date created

  2015-01-01

• Subjects / Keywords

  • Deer
  • Epidemiology
  • Chronic Wasting Disease
  • Infectious Disease Control
  • Mules
  • Infectious Disease Epidemiology
  • Death Rates
  • Eigenvalues

• Type of Item

  Article (Published)

• DOI

  https://doi.org/10.7939/r3-ege0-7948

• License

  © 2015 Potapov et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.