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Predictive Models for Quality Variables with Regular Sensors and Images
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- Author / Creator
- Salehi, Yousef
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In the process industry, certain quality variables cannot be measured regularly due
to technical limitations or economic constraints. Consequently, the industry relies on
laboratory analysis to measure such quality variables. However, laboratory analysis
introduces long time-delays in obtaining measurements due to the need to collect
representative samples, transport them, and conduct the analysis. The associated
delay can pose challenges in terms of timely decision-making and real-time control.
Therefore, fast-rate measurements in the process industry are crucial for real-time
quality monitoring and control. By obtaining real-time data, industries can improve
efficiency, meet customer expectations, and minimize risks associated with the quality
variables.
Data-driven predictive models, also known as soft sensors, have emerged as valuable
tools in predicting quality variables in the process industry. The predictive models
employ advanced data analysis techniques to predict the values of quality variables
using different data sources including regularly measured variables by online sensors
and visual information provided by video cameras. By leveraging historical data and
identifying patterns, the models can provide fast-rate predictions of quality variables.
This capability enables proactive decision-making and facilitates timely interventions
to maintain product quality and process control, and contribute to process optimization.
In this thesis, we develop predictive models based on both conventional sensor
measurements and image data, each with its own advantages. The first two contributions
are related to conventional sensors data and the following two contributions are concerned with image data as a means to develop predictive models. The main
contributions of this thesis are listed as follows.
The first contribution involves developing a statistical predictive model for quality
variables with simultaneous consideration of time-varying time-delays, time-varying
sample collection periods, and varying operating points. A non-parametric distribution
is used to describe the distributions of the time-delays, sample collection periods,
and switching of different operating modes, eliminating the need for prior knowledge
about the distributions. Furthermore, the work enables online updating of the model
parameters using a recursive Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm.
Then, we extend the linear time invariant predictive model to a linear parameter
varying (LPV) predictive model, and enhance robustness to outlying output observations
through the use of t-distribution. Additionally, uncertainty of the unknown
model parameters is estimated using variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm.
Development of a computer vision model to predict quality variables is the third
contribution. A modified Kalman filter is formulated to restore degraded images
caused by factors like lighting conditions changes and camera noise. Additionally,
to estimate the predictive model parameters, a robust-to-outlier EM algorithm is
developed. The proposed model was validated on a tailing flotation process.
In the last contribution, the development of a computer vision model that enables
fast-rate prediction of quality variables is considered. To address the impact
of environmental conditions like steam and lighting on images, an atuoencoder-based
image inpainting algorithm is developed to fill in the missing regions in the images.
The restored images, along with slow-rate sampled measurements, are then used in
conjunction with the EM algorithm to construct an auto-regressive with eXogenous
input (ARX) predictive model.
All the proposed models in this thesis have been validated through experimental
studies. -
- Graduation date
- Spring 2024
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- Type of Item
- Thesis
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- Degree
- Doctor of Philosophy
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- License
- This thesis is made available by the University of Alberta Libraries with permission of the copyright owner solely for non-commercial purposes. This thesis, or any portion thereof, may not otherwise be copied or reproduced without the written consent of the copyright owner, except to the extent permitted by Canadian copyright law.